I am thrilled to return to this old post to announce

-This paper now has two documentary adaptations available on youtube, one is made by an AI sensationalist channel (Documenting AGI) and the other was made by 80,000 Hours, an EA org (AI in context)

-The authors of it have since extended their timelines to 2031 for full automation of coding and 2034 for the superintelligence itself. So the paper is now outdated!

2034 is also the year superintelligence is gonna happen according to the updated predictions from the AI 2027 crew, so double whammy!

Fuck, I was just about to post that. You beat me to the sneer

chatbots doing normal chatbot things

in follow-up posts he talks about how he’s broadly in favour of job automation, but has doubts our current government would be able to do that without fucking everyone over, he specified that “if it were a 1950’s government and congress I’d be more hopeful”

…so instead of proposing a solution like “protest against this” or “vote people in power who actually are responsible” he jumps to “your daughter should give up her career and become a sex worker for AI company shareholders”

with the Epstein shitstorm still raging, I would not be saying a damn thing about young women being sex workers for rich and powerful dudes

it’s listed author, David J. Temple, is a collective pseudonym used by several authors including by Marc Gafni, a disgraced New Age spiritual guru who’s been accused of sexually exploiting his followers

why does shit always have to turn out weird

what is with the “uhm actually its ephebophilia and not pedophilia” thing?? (Yud’s done it too in a weird ass post that was highlighted here) you’re still having sex with someone who is still legally considered a child as a middle-aged man. jesus

“It’s horrifying to see normal people you dance with turn into nazis so easily.”

…you’re calling the people who hate the billionaires nazis? have you seen what the average billionaire has gotten up to recently???

update to this thread, Yud says he does not agree with the positions as Dembara stated them the post also got taken down by the OP apparently.

Yud didn’t provide any elaboration on what “victimful crime” means though, I was tempted to ask him myself, or get someone else to ask for me, guess I can’t anymore

Yeah, I can’t hold it against anyone for feeling scared and overwhelmed with what’s happening in America right now and fleeing. Hope he finds happiness soon

managed to find my source

funny how all the tech CEOs are the ones who are saying in the next couple years and all the researchers give 10-20 year timelines. surely this does not mean anything about the reliability of the companies and their claims

Anthropic doesn’t actually give a shit about any of the human harms created by the technology

It’s always been like that

but yeah it sounds like they got overwhelmed by all the shit happening in the world (there is a lot of shit happening in the world, especially in America) and left for their own mental health’s sake

I though Kurzweil’s latest singularity date was 2032 or smth

with the current state of billionaires that was to be expected

Eliezer, I would be very careful about talking about age of consent if I were you

they actually meant “tip your landlord into the nearest garbage bin”

bootlicking billionaires when they’re the main ones supporting the thing you say is an existential threat is definitely a choice. rationalists seem to be getting more and more mask off in the face of the trump administration

yeah lmfao it was bad. I thoroughly enjoyed titotal’s takedown of that graph. I can’t believe the documentary versions of that paper on youtube have millions of views and people eating it up

Those comment sections are gonna be a joy when 2027 and 2028 roll around

gag. going full mask off now

I took a look at the “AGI 0.5-2 years away” quote, and he said he’s using the term in the “pre-2020” way, where we would of “debated whether or not Claude Opus is AGI or not” so not exactly robot god, but he’s still expecting LLMs to be able to act as advanced secretaries for the government. I have no clue what he means by “cluster” and if he was being literal with the molecular stuff or that’s just figurative language

Still stupid tho

very late response but this is very funny because Yud made a post about AGI being a meaningless term and you shouldn’t say things like “we have achieved AGI!” and then he turns around and posts this….why??? pick a lane man