
look at the math: 60% turn-out, of which 52% voted UCP… that makes it ~31% at best. Which is my point. With FPP whoever is not willing to vote for any of the “major contestants” doesn’t feel like their vote matters. So you’ve got 70% who did not vote for UCP for one or other reason
Now think about this fact: last election conservatives knew they were threatened by NDP, so you’d expect all the UCP loyalists to show up, but in fact turn-out is lower and results are way worse than prior election. In other words if we assume that those 70% contain more UCP supporters (or secession folk) I can’t find plausible evidence to support that. So that’s their entire electorate give or take a few thousands. The rest wants nothing to do with them. If it wasn’t for FPP, AB governance would look very different. But like I said earlier - none of the parties (NDP included) is willing to change that.