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Cake day: June 29th, 2020

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  • Once that happens I expect the west to go nuclear on this.

    They’ve already said it’s national security concerns to sell latest AI chips to China and to buy Huawei, they will slap a total import embargo on these chips and I feel most likely ban western companies from developing software for them to attempt to choke their utility. Could lead to a hard forking of Linux at that point among other more interesting things. I also would expect the west to start enforcing their “clean network” initiative on allies a bit out of the anglo-verse, say leaning on counties in Latin America, Africa, Asia, etc as well as individual companies within them to not use Chinese chips, maybe even slapping on sanctions that western software cannot be used in the same institution or in contact with systems using these “dangerous CCP spy chips” to again attempt to lock in markets for themselves, crush Chinese exports, etc.

    We’ll have to see how the current trade war pans out, it could leave the US in a position where it can’t do this, it could leave the US in a position where it can, it could leave it in a position where it’s very easy.

    It will be an uphill battle, the west has the high-ground in terms of controlling all the major software, the operating systems, gaming, entertainment, productivity, specialized applications, etc and will likely try and leverage that to lock people into a western hardware/chips+software ecosystem. But it’s good because it will mean a reckoning and a real fight and real independence for China from the west though it will come at the price of some pain obviously.

    Needless to say I don’t think westerners will be able to get anything nearing cutting edge or 10-years-recent in terms of these chips due to restrictions.

    It’s not just about maintaining the edge on high technology, backdoors in chips like these and sitting atop the vulnerability disclosure process allows the west unprecedented hacking abilities and Chinese chips threaten their global hacking and intercept spying network and thus blinding them (as Huawei did by displacing Cisco/Juniper).



  • AFD like many Euro reactionary parties is shall we say racist but pragmatic. They don’t care as much as the centrist EU project parties for committing economic suicide just to defend liberalism. They’re at least in word (in deed I’m more skeptical) therefore more open to a kind of practical partnership with countries like Russia and China. That doesn’t mean they’re pro-Russia or pro-China, they’re still quite racist and quite chauvinistic about the superiority of “the garden” (though often interested in changing that ‘garden’ to suppress gays, migrants, etc) and are not free trade fanatics so quite fine with racially tinged protectionist policies but also at least in word with working with China or Russia.

    In practice it’s hard to say whether they’d actually do this, it might be the US finally pushes the EU bourgeoisie too far and they elevate these reactionary elements who have been steadily gaining steam into a wave of reaction that takes over EU governments and seeks a bit more engagement with China and Russia while still staying in the US sphere.


  • Why not? Russia never denied the accusations only repeated that the matter of troops from partner nations like the DPRK was an internal matter. After all Ukraine had troops from US, UK, France, Poland, Germany, all kinds of western paid mercenaries, as well as special forces soldiers in or out of uniform but acting under orders operating equipment, etc operating there and that was considered fair by the west and not a sign of them engaging in a direct war against Russia so this is more than fair on the part of Russia and the DPRK.

    We know for a fact DPRK troops were in Russia and training with Russians and have for many months. We know Russia and the DPRK signed a mutual defense treaty and the DPRK decided to honor it in the present conflict (a wise move in that it would leave Russia in a tougher spot after the DPRK helped them if Russia were to balk if the US attacked the DPRK in future).


  • Many of us thought it likely they were likely at least deployed in rear defensive lines to 1) Get them close to the action and get experience and knowledge and 2) free up Russian troops to engage in other operations. The contention from the Ukrainian Nazi propagandists was however that you know some massive number of them were engaged in offensive combat operations and in Ukraine because obviously 90% of the Russian population had been killed by the Ghost of Kiev or whatever.

    It’s interesting to get information that they did get involved in the front. Most likely information like how many were deployed isn’t something Russia or the DPRK are eager to reveal, it might be revealed in vague terms in the coming years like someone letting slip it was more than or less than x. However how many casualties is likely to never be revealed though I’d guess given their area of operation in Russia with heavy support they probably didn’t take that many.

    Hopefully this knowledge saves lives by further deterring the west from attacking the DPRK, I believe they’re growing domestic drone production as a result of this conflict because of the clear role those will play in future.




  • I don’t suppose there’s a window you could sit by that might let some sunlight fall on you for a bit every day or so? Not the same as walking but it might be something, a half measure that might give you some of that, maybe a window you could crack open too to get that fresh air and some sunlight in and just sit there in it early morning or evening to get some of that experience.

    I’m sorry comrade, I hope you’re able to find something that offers a measure of relief for this whole situation though I don’t have any ideas other than these I guess. I know personally just sitting outside for a bit at the right hours in good weather can be very refreshing and energizing even without the walking so I’m kind of hoping you might be able to find some solution involving a window and the right time of day.


  • It’s understandable but well I guess you can try to look at the bright side. Online connectivity means though you’re inside you don’t have to be trapped mentally, you can do so many things. I think just occasionally maybe looking out a window, looking up nature videos online, things like that might help. It’s hard but it’s best not to dwell too much on can’ts and what we can’t do but instead try to find cans we enjoy. I mean it’s bound to be tough and it’s natural I think to feel frustration and not be able to totally get over it or forget what’s longed for but out of reach for now. But you do what you can and try to find little pieces of enjoyment. Maybe try meditation with nature sounds or something. I wish I had more specific advice.


  • I’m sorry about all you’re going through. Have you considered trying to find some enjoyable social things to do online? Hexbear has movie and TV show watching nights every evening of the week for instance and there are all kinds of other activities from playing chess to chat rooms that don’t have to cost money.

    I would avoid catastrophizing about what might happen with a condition. Instead just try and focus on doing what you can to take care of it within what you have and not overdoing it, don’t worry too much and find things to distract yourself with whether it’s reading a book or online activities with others. Try if you can to find little moments of joy or laughter in a comedy show or movie and do what you can. I really hope things go well for you and your appeal works out.



  • I feel for you comrade but I really must advise you that unless your parents are wealthy and willing to set you up you really need either a HS diploma or a GED. You can get GED’s online often. RV’s are expensive, even used ones cost a lot of money and there are maintenance concerns. The type of money you’re going to struggle to get without a GED or diploma.

    I’d recommend if you think school isn’t for you that you get that GED, you find a trade, you get certifications in it or whatever and you start working on that path. I knew someone in a similar situation to yours, ADHD, only they lied about college not HS. They had dreams of van-life and things like that but didn’t do anything about it and though their parents let them live with them for a while what eventually happened is both retired, felt money was too tight and they moved away and left this person homeless. If they hadn’t had an uncle willing to take them in they would have been on the streets and in terrible danger but even so things are not that great for them.

    So I’d highly recommend getting that GED since conventional school doesn’t agree with you and then picking up a trade. Because life will be sooo much better and easier for you if you do those two things and it’ll give you the money and ability to move away from your family and live how you want in a secure way that retail work (where you’re often not paid enough to survive and have to roommate up) just often won’t in many areas (especially heading into a trade war with tariffs where retail could crash). You’ll have so much more to fall back on than without them where you’re going to kind of be a leaf on the wind which can sound kind of romantic but for every great writer who has that kind of bumming around and bumping into success as a backstory there a thousand people who are suffering and stuck on the streets sometimes until they die who tried doing the same thing but failed and were abandoned whose stories are never told in our capitalist society. Don’t think the odds will favor you, take care of yourself, be safe but get a plan, find a trade, get a GED. It’s some work and pain now yes but it saves you a lot of work and pain later and for the rest of your life compared to trying to go without.

    Looking at that list darkernations posted, pretty much everything there requires at least high school degree (or GED) and/or on top of that some certifications or community college.


  • I partially agree, I think drugs should be outlawed and/or limited. I’m not against people in certain mental health situations being given ayahuasca or similar drugs with potential therapeutic effects but I don’t think people should be able to buy heroin at the corner store for regular recreational use and that there should be allowed this drug culture (420, etc) around it.

    I think ceremonially people should be allowed reasonable limited amounts of certain substances like alcohol (and weed) in state regulated amounts (like tied to a state ID card) like a bottle of wine for new years and a few other holidays and a bottle of whiskey a year but not like 2 bottles of whiskey and a case of beer a week type consumption. Not you know spending every other day high out of your mind on weed for hours at a time. I think what weed that is available recreationally should be weakened back to mid 20th century levels of THC and no one under 24 should be allowed access to it given the potential dangers to developing brains. As smoke is a carcinogen by itself consumption in that form should be discouraged for those who wish to use it, those who require it be done that way for traditional ceremonial/cultural reasons can still do so but most should be encouraged to bake it into foods or imbibe in some other manner that reduces the harm.

    I understand why under capitalism people drink heavily or do lots of drugs, how miserable life can be, how hard labor conditions are so I’m not in favor of harsh restrictions on alcohol/weed under capitalism (though I’m also not in favor of legalization of more hard drugs which would be used to harm the proletariat, drug people into a sense of uncaring acceptance, exploit people to addict them to a product for profit, etc).

    I think it’s a definite harm and people don’t understand that say the type of weed that Stalin smoked was like a hundred times weaker than the stuff you can buy in a shop today. Back in Stalin’s day weed was a mild relaxant really compared to what it is today.




  • I think it would be a mistake to view China as isolated in this.

    In -ALL- of this? No. In this specific situation where everyone else has already slipped the tariffs? Yes. Absolutely they’re standing on their own basically in the immediate moment.

    As to US soft power I think Trump was already the sign that they’ve given up on that. If they hadn’t they wouldn’t be gutting all the soft power operations with DOGE and doing so much damage to image with threats to annex Greenland and Canada. I think the die has been cast there that hard imperialism is the way forward, cold war 1.0 playbook basically. I think Ukraine was a wake-up call because US propaganda didn’t pull in the global south, it just plain failed outside of Europe and US vassals in Asia. What soft power they retain will be aimed at “traditional values” crowd as in the cold war, running up red-scare stuff about Chinese commies gay marrying you against your will and things like that.

    America is very much in a do or die situation and we know it, they know it, China knows it. They’re trying to undergo a transformation which will either succeed in prolonging their grip on power or hastening their demise, the way to delay and hedge against either was to continue the old path but that led to certain doom while this they feel gives them a chance.


  • So many people here who are so uncharitable towards me…

    Please point out where I said “this plan is brilliant and guaranteed to succeed and socialism and China are doomed and we’re fucked and Trump and the US are the most masterful planners to ever exist” or anything along those lines which everyone seems to assume I’ve said based on the hostile response.

    Not a one of you has pointed out how this is impossible for the US planners to be thinking this or acting along these lines. It’s no more ridiculous than assuming it’s all just Trump throwing a tantrum or doing greedy things which to me is true absurdity when it’s clear there are bipartisan plans. It’s buying into the liberal lie that Trump is some aberration breaking things which were it the case Biden would have reversed a lot of his decisions instead of doubling down.


  • We shall see won’t we? I wouldn’t discount dollar hegemony and control of things like SWIFT given the replacements are years away still. For that matter I wouldn’t discount how Europeans and a few other vassals may be happy or coerced into offering themselves as firewood for the US empire to keep it going.

    Notice to the downvoters: I never said this would work I just said I think this is their thinking. But apparently even the idea that the reactionaries have some sort of cogent thought or plan in their head is anathema to far too many people here. I’m sorry to say there is at times in the western left a kind of circle-jerk of acceptable logic. It pays to at times attempt to get into the heads of our enemies.


  • This is just phase 2.

    IF Trump was rattled by China’s retaliation he would include them in the pause and pretend it had nothing to do with them, he’d attempt to play it off as a global thing so as to not given undue impression of power on China’s part. That he hasn’t tells you he doesn’t care.

    The point of this was never hurting say India. It was always about China, other nations were included to disguise this fact and to shake them down because why not. Also to pressure them to bring them into the fold for the next phase.

    But the fact that China’s tariffs were increased, not removed tells you all you need to know. Namely they are absolutely dead serious about decoupling from China.

    India is not going to help China, they’re a reactionary/fascist nation actively trying to stab China in the back and take their industry and courting the US for a trade deal which the US will give them in exchange for helping move important (iphone, etc) manufacturing from China to India for the US. China is courting them anyways in public but it won’t work. The only real allies China has in this are likely to be Vietnam (maybe, US is trying to peel them from China and stoke division and these moves were going to badly hurt Vietnam but were pulled back), DPRK, Russia. The US likes those odds. The US feels it can deal with an isolated bloc of those countries and Trump feels he can maybe peel Russia away with time.

    China made a call and Trump seized on them trying to stand fast and rally the world to them to fight the US by giving everyone else a reprieve and thus no reason to stand with China while he leaves them isolated and alone. They can’t back down now so in a way I think Trump has them where he wants them. Namely standing alone, with the rest of the world negotiating with the US on terms which will doubtless include measures to pull them into the US orbit and away from China’s orbit in exchange for tariff relief.

    I don’t disagree with China’s call but they may have walked right into a trap of certain intent and design by the US. To be fair they didn’t have any great choices. If they just bowed their heads and pleaded on their knees things would also be bad for them. I’ve heard that Trump admin has been refusing meetings with envoys and so Trump and co are lying about China not trying to negotiate, it’s just a lie they’re pushing while they refuse to listen or treat with China so they can justify all of this and cast China as the belligerent aggressor who doesn’t want to be fair.

    It’s about isolating China. It’s about creating economic interests and incentives that isolate China and I think its working at least at this stage. The pause will cause most countries to come and negotiate and most will be given relief for token concessions which Trump will trumpet as big deals and big wins.

    The US may indeed be intent on devaluing their currency to make exports competitive but as part of this they have to isolate China, they have to smash Chinese industry and competitiveness and look what we have? China standing alone against the US, calling out to other nations who even now slink away from it leaving it alone because no one else wants this fight, they all want to take the out because the US is still too strong.

    China needs to use what strength it has to really hit the US.

    Though I worry it doesn’t matter. I worry they’ve built into their plans a hope that tariffs can continue to spiral out of control, that Chinese goods become unaffordable, that the economy crashes, that supply chains are forcibly rerouted and there are years of shortages but that they achieve a quick, fast, if painful decoupling from China leaving them free to isolate, sanction, blockade, and attempt to destroy China using their navy, their control of global finances to sanction and make trade with China for third party nations impossibly expensive or painful, and so on and use this to crush Chinese industry and economy, to break up the belt and road, to re-enslave the global south that China was trying to free with better loan and development terms. If that’s the case and capital doesn’t revolt and I think there’s a very good chance it doesn’t as at least tech capital seems to be standing with Trump and can always be bought off with specific exemptions for say Apple to import x amount per year not subject to tariffs then China has a hell of a fight ahead of them.

    And no rerouting goods through India for finishing for lower tariffs isn’t a long-term solution as at that point the capitalists begin to ask why they’re paying those higher Chinese wages and then a cut for the Indian finishers when they could just move production itself to India as Apple has been doing to a degree.

    The way for China to defeat the US and specifically Trump’s anti-Nixon shock was to rally other countries to it and create their own system based on common interests of resisting US tariffs and they seemed to be making moves to attempt this, but now no other major country on earth (save maybe Russia which is subject to sanctions instead of tariffs) has that common interest, the US quickly peeled them away by offering everyone else a way out but keeping China in the cross-hairs after China had already escalated leaving China alone locked in a loop of escalation with the US with other countries looking on but having no interest in challenging the US while it’s still this strong.



  • Democrats didn’t introduce it. It’s a ballot initiative (submitted by private citizens) and the writers named it that but it’ll get a number instead if it’s voted on and if it becomes law it will be as prop #x.

    Democrats are not that cool in California or anywhere.

    Just typical reactionary distortion of California. Though this is not smart given how many reactionaries agree with what happened in NY.