Wheaties [she/her]

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  • 89 Posts
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Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: November 2nd, 2020

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  • Unlike shoes or hats, where you might buy less if prices increase, smartphones, especially iPhones, are a different story. iPhones, which currently dominate about half the US smartphone market, have become an integral part of the people’s daily lives. Let’s face it: Many Americans would feel lost without their iPhones, even for a day or just a few hours.

    I don’t know about this. A network connection and a means of texting; sure that’s pretty integral. But iPhones themselves… that’s a brand first, and a functional product at distant second. I kinda don’t think it’s more elastic than shoes. Sure, other phones are also gonna be impacted by tariffs, but other phones don’t start with the big price tag that comes alongside a fruit logo.


  • Keeping to yourself has more benefits than that. Active support always comes with the risk. A far off power throwing its weight into a set of conditions it doesn’t have an on-the-ground, real time understanding off. There’s always unintended consequences. The US has spent the last half-century demonstrating how that sours your global perception. China keeps to itself. China doesn’t presume to know local conditions better than locals do. And hey, if local communists do manage to take power, China is there, ready and willing to do business with them.


  • I think the lack of vocal calls for communism is more a strategic necessity than anything else. The US and Europe love idly speculating about regime change in China. Any active support on China’s part will get spun as imperialism, and used to justify realizing those dreams of regime change. Do business with whatever institution is recognized as legitimate, keep the communism within your own boarders, and you can more safely entrench yourself within world systems.











  • I think computers themselves are already the under-utilized tool for economic planning and coordination. Perhaps LLMs (or some other sort of trained neural net) have a role in that, though I think the way it spits out answers without being able to go back and follow the steps it took to get there makes it a bit unreliable for economic modeling. Honestly, I’ve seen a pretty compelling case put forward that all we really need is some open-source algebra equations, and a dedicated network for incorporating worker feedback and real time data.

    And, I’m… skeptical about the effectiveness of online messaging in general. It’s good for getting ideas out there, but real organizing happens offline, between people. Ideally, we want them to be able to recognize, analyze, and work through contradictions themselves - rather than relying on the computer to hand them answers.





  • Republicans are really gonna impale themselves on this petard? Exactly what the Democrats did last term? Insisting that everything is better because the bean-counters say things look good on their side of the spreadsheet?

    On a broader level I kinda wonder if, by circumstance or decision or whatever, we’re not gonna have capital-r Recessions as historical moments anymore. Like, conditions will continue to deteriorate - we’ll still have periods where unemployment increases, where people are laid off, prices increase, and the circle of those living in comfortable stability contracts further - but nobody in the news rooms will actually say the “R” word.

    I don’t know. Maybe all the bubbles that have been accumulating, the Bitcoin and the AI and the Tesla and the computer chips, maybe they all pop in the next little while. Maybe I’ve just spent too long being tense and waiting for the pin to drop that I’ve become too numb.