Oh I understand the need to be skeptical, much criticism is unprincipled and opportunistic. I know that these criticisms that I have raised are not being covered outside the country and received little attention here either.

The debate is illustrative of the failure to clearly offer an alternative to the failed model the country is currently following. If you understand Spanish and want to see why we lost, just go watch the debate - Luisa attacked Noboa but failed to offer a clear plan for how she’d do better, when asked about her economic plans she said “she’d eliminate corruption” and then launched into another attack on Noboa for his corrupt acts. If she was a new candidate with no baggage this may have worked, but the media have spent the last 18 years tying the party to acts of corruption.

Rafael Correa has a talk show, where a week before the election he decided to talk about the inevitable downfall of the dollar in the world with Ricardo Patiño - they were correct in their analysis but the thing was taken out of context and to the average low information voter - all that was heard, is these people want to take our dollars away. Give the 96% approval of dollarization in Ecuador this was a massive communicational error.

Many mistakes were made. Blaming it all on the fraud will not help us. Even if we could prove we should have won, which we don’t have enough evidence for yet, we still couldn’t overturn the results because Noboa has control of the electoral authorities and courts.

Unfortunately we must accept the reality and make plans for the future. Powercuts and privatization are on the horizon, it’s a grim time and crying about fraud isn’t going to energize anyone except the base.

I live in Ecuador, I wanted Luisa to win, I campaigned for her.

The anti gay adoption and anti trans education letter can be seen here: https://www.vistazo.com/politica/elecciones-ecuador-2025/2025-03-11-segunda-vuelta-ecuador-daniel-noboa-luisa-gonzalez-rechazan-ideologia-genero-FM8943016

The segment of the debate where she said she’d recognize Maduro to deport Venezuelans can be seen here: https://youtube.com/shorts/wiSuQI7QE9Y

I supported Luisa and the Citizens Revolution Party because they previously renegotiated oil contracts to increase state revenue and they gave us massive infrastructure spending, tripled the minimum wage and the country benefitted hugely from their administration.

Noboa is a failure and a tool of the imperialists, an amerikan citizen himself, he’s overseen a doubling of the crime rate and given impunity to the military for its actions massacring civilians in Nueva Prosperina and Socio Vivienda, marginal neighborhoods of Guayaquil. Noboa plans to sell off state oil production for personal gain and this will permanently damage Ecuador’s development prospects.

I understand the consequences of this election first hand, I have lived here since the beginning of Rafael Correa’s administration, I saw a country move forward for a decade and I’ve suffered the consequences of the last eight years of maladministration.

I want to see the left regain power, I want the peace and moderate prosperity we enjoyed under the left to return. But I am also willing to criticise my own side for the obviously failed strategy of attempting to move right on certain issues.

I am a Correista, I support Rafael Correa, the man who gave us a constitution with universal citizenship and openness to people from all parts of the world to come here and enjoy an equality under the law - something that I benefitted from as a migrant. To see the party candidate proclaim an intention to deport Venezuelans was a betrayal. If we are going to regain power, we must recognize our mistakes. Fraud it was, but the support for Noboa is not entirely fictional, the rejection of the project by millions of Ecuadorians is real, we must deal with these issues so we can hope to regain the presidency.

Luisa González received less votes than she did in the first round despite a deal with the third placed candidate and their party.

300k more people voted despite the removal of the obligation to vote in the coastal region.

The unsigned vote totals from polling stations in the electoral authority database are clear evidence of fraud.

I’m willing to accept that Noboa may have won but the margin of victory is not believable.

But we must be willing to engage in criticism of our movement. Luisa engaged in dangerous xenophobic rhetoric in the last few weeks, justifying her intention to recognize Maduro with a declared intent to deport undocumented Venezuelan migrants. Both candidates signed a letter of intent to prohibit gay adoption and trans education. She failed to make clear the significance of plans by Noboa to sell off state oil production.

They’re not MLs, at best they’re Marxist informed sucdems. But they did a decent job of improving material conditions for the poor, poverty and infant malnutrition went down under Correa’s administration, he took national control of the oil, he built highways and schools and hospitals, minimum wage tripled, it was a good time for 98% of Ecuadorians, even those who didn’t like him benefited.

Unfortunately Correa is fucking shit up right now. Iza was making strong signals he’d endorse Luisa and then Rafael said some dumb shit on Twitter and put salt into some old wounds. Fuck knows what’s going to happen now. If Luisa doesn’t fix this today or tomorrow we probably going to lose. Even if we somehow win we need Pachakutic to govern in the Assemblea. So pissed right now.

Luisa will win the second round. Noboa won with 52 vs 48% last time. His year and a half of government has been a disaster, he’s lost votes and Luisa has only gone up.

Over reliance on hydro? That’s really not the full story. Ecuador has back up diesel/gas generators for such possibilities of drought but unfortunately 8 years of right wing government left the backups rusty and inoperable. Electric demand has grown in the last 8 years but there’s been zero investment in new capacity.

We had 3 months of upto 14 hour blackouts daily and barely a mention in foreign press, but Cuba had a day without electricity and lots of coverage

Not really, they’re passing the issue onto the icj so that they can do nothing meanwhile.

As comrades have mentioned, the election is a big factor. Kamala is running ads highlight her support for Ukraine in states with populations connected to Eastern Europe that are considered strategically important. Also the campaign to tell people that Russia is paying political commentators is in full force.

Everything I don’t like is done by the Russians or the Chinese, I am very smart and not a racist

The USA is already fascist. The slaughter of the indigenous population and settling of the west was the direct inspiration for Nazi wars of aggression and elimination of the Slavic population in Eastern Europe. The arming of Nazis in Ukraine and genocidal Zionists in occupied Palestine - what mask? There is no mask. It’s outright an open fascism.

Project 2025 is being used as a reason to vote for a fascist genocidal Biden by a lot of people right now. I’m sorry the Republicans want to do some bad things but I don’t see how any of that is worse than the fucking actual genocide happening right now

They have a decent reason to do so, but that doesn’t preclude escalation.

That’s great news comrade.

On the bright side, everyone from Milei to Canel and even the Oas are united against Ecuador over this issue.

Former vice president of Ecuador, Jorge Glas was arrested. It’s part of a series of political persecutions by the vendepatrias that have run this country since Lenin Moreno betrayed his party, country and voters. It’s late and I don’t want to write an in depth piece on Ecuadorian politics. It doesn’t even matter because even people who don’t like Glas can recognize that this is just an absolutely insane action, a violation of the Vienna Convention and something which has few precedents.

The single biggest issue is that as a tropical environment, only certain crops and animals work well there. Most of the “innovations” in tropical farming are based on producing more cash crops fro the imperial core. This issue is most obvious with the long standing shortage of fresh milk, the cattle that produce milk are varieties bred for cool climates and they don’t do well in the tropics.

Hot water? Boiled onions? No thanks. Pickled onions yes.

Cancerous ass has cancer in the ass

Given the hysteria following the entrance of armed teenagers into a national TV station and a few simultaneous attacks, unfortunately most people will support this nonsense right now. My daughter can’t go to school because her school is in a “dangerous area” close to a jail and I’m supposed to be grateful the gringos are coming to save the day and pay more sales tax to support our glorious armed forces.

Jfc.

Also we signed a deal to send 25k workers to Israel. The referendum to stop exploitation of oil on one small part of the land that belongs to indigenous people in voluntary isolation has been overturned by executive decision - because we need the money and who gives a fuck if genocide is the result?

It’s been a bad couple of weeks in Ecuador and most people have totally lost their minds. I love my country but this shit is really testing.

Spain should the southern half to Andalucía and we could split the north into separate Leon and Castille