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Cake day: July 26th, 2023

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  • I think it is more that the supreme court is looking to collect more than one solid case where it is obvious the president isn’t listening. Because if they pull the trigger and explicitly order him to do something that he isn’t going to do, that will be the turning point. And at that point they only have to real ways to win. One is congressional impeachment, which is their best case outcome. The other is they order him held in contempt and order the marshals to enforce it. It’s not obvious who’s order the marshals will follow. But if they choose the president, then the supreme court has to deputize a force strong enough to arrest the president. And the pres will likely order the military to defend him, and arrest the supreme court. That will likely cause a split in the military between those who will follow that order and those who won’t because it’s the supreme court. And that leads to civil war. So they want to have overwhelming cases and such to persuade congress to act. And trumps popularity is dropping. So is his support even in his own party. So time is on the supreme courts side right now. They don’t want to pull the trigger until they are sure they will win.