Lost some. Won some.

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Cake day: June 25th, 2023

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  • Before the election, I was able to see this multiple poll breakdown that was kind of surprising. If you were under 35 and male, you were more likely to have voted CPC. Every other group (esp. women under 35 and everyone over 65) was more likely to vote LPC. This tells me Poilievre’s social media campaign, which you may recall was highly “manosphere”-coded was effective with the target group. The good news then is that (while not making the same mistake as the CPC and forgetting other demographics exist), we can reach these people with a smart approach online.

    I think Rational National has a good point in that video I linked that maybe these folks who were taken in by the Conservatives were under the impression because the Liberals were in charge as long as they can remember, everything is solely their fault. They’re likely missing the overall historical context that we can’t afford to keep the tax burden on poor people (especially as wages stagnate) instead of the rich (whose incomes have been exploding up until Trump’s market crashes) as we’ve been doing increasingly for decades upon decades.



  • True. We’ve only kicked the can down the road at best with this election, so this has been on my mind as more important than ever right now. But even if we get a good form of proportional representation, we can’t get complacent. We still have to win a war of ideas.

    Prominent supporters of the CPC here in Canada want to implement a (faster!) DOGE-like process. It’s also very concerning that Labour in the UK (rough equivalent to our LPC) is slashing survival-necessary benefits for disabled young people, and their ascending Reform Company-that-runs-as-a-party is championing a Trump-style agenda. Australia’s Liberal party (rough equivalent to CPC) wanted to do the same, but luckily there’s been a backlash.

    For now, Australia looks likely to follow what we did and re-elect their Labour party (LPC equivalent) as government. Soon, people in the US won’t be able to avoid the reality of a massive wave of layoffs starting at docks and the transportation sector and fanning its way out across supply chains (unless they can somehow miraculously head this off or their manufacturing sector proves more resilient). Maybe global opinion will change then, but there’s always the risk we’ll get even more of the same push we’ve had for decades upon decades from every major party: “Slashing taxes for the rich and cutting services didn’t work? Guess we have to do it even harder!”



  • LostWon@lemmy.catoCanada@lemmy.caLove to see it
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    2 days ago

    That’s not what their base believes. There is a whole other fantasy reality in their channels about how Carney has planned all along to cut a secret deal with Trump after the election. Other justification narratives probably exist as well, because they have to keep people believing that obviously, everyone knows we couldn’t possibly do anything other than completely fold into Trump’s plans. They spew propagandistic garbage like this and teach people to distrust legit media that understands context and checks facts rather than running with conspiracy theories based on flimsy evidence.








  • Also, while it’s true there may have been too much immigration in a short time, that’s not a primary reason for housing costs rising. Asset prices are going up because homes are treated as an investment. At least according to graphs in this Breach video, there’s been no correlation between immigration and housing costs.

    Economist Gary Stevenson has outlined many times as well how homes increasing in value for an extended period of time can actually be seen as a precursor to a shrinking middle class, though middle class people often don’t see increasing pricing as a feature of wealthier buyers out-competing them.