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Joined 2 months ago
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Cake day: April 6th, 2026

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  • Fundamentally models based on an LLM structure are never going to be remotely performant with current technology.

    Part of the problem is that as you increase parameters, in some parts of the model the amount of digital processing time is increased close to or more likely above and beyond a magnitude. Absolute best case is somewhere around N^2 per sequence of layers where N is the number of neurons.

    additionally floating point multiplication is involved which is like turning two numbers into their own matrix multiplication operation.

    Agentic is really more like taking a crappy slot machine that does multiple rolls in one go to improve the odds of a more desirable outcome.

    So to simplify the problem, this is like a bunch of stupid monkeys rubbing two rocks together hard enough to create enough friction to make it seem like they have discovered fire.

    Taking that analogy a step further, so much effort is being put into rubbing rocks together faster that other important issues like food and shelter are being ignored.


  • There is a line in a song “The revolution will be synthesized” has come to mind as I have noticed the same things. My partner works in FEMA and we have been debating if the agency is functionally dead or not, with me arguing it is. There is another agency I am especially worried about that was also in the DHS umbrella as their people seem to be absent.

    A year ago I was on a short list of people asking about the NWS “firewall” and its status - https://www.fao.org/4/U4220T/u4220T0a.htm

    Currently trying to research what happened in the last few years that the NWS could undo roughly 5 years of work in the 80’s in under a year. Anyone reading this know of a public archive of NWS surveys in Central America?

    Otherwise it feels like there is a measurable movement to try and force a literal “Armageddon”. Hegseth pushed the “This is a holy war” or “final war” to the military in the early days of Operation Forgot About Epstein or the war with Iran. Add in Thiel’s fascination with the antichrist and it really feels like a death cult maybe operating inside the government.




  • Gavin lost me when he promoted the age verification law. “The road to hell is paved with good intentions.” I can see it being implemented in ways that would negate the government needing a warrant to find the identity of someone voicing an opinion the administration doesn’t like. Additionally, imagine how disruptive it is to have a blanket ban from Google or Microsoft for whatever reason. Now expand that so that one agency can lock you out of pretty much everything.

    Inversely a customer opt-in by parents to restrict their own internet connections access is targeted and empowers parents into deciding what they let their children access. Reality is that the teenagers will figure out a way around it, but that is true of a national age verification system.