This is my xmas, ty santa

“He sold? Pamp it”

Intel up 11% in the day and 5% in the after hours. Really looks like big players took the boy out back behind the woodshed to see what swimming with the sharks feels like and devour his entire port at a discount.

“From my perspective as an uninformed spectator, I would expect the bets made by Situational Awareness to be positive EV over the long run.”

Actually the value of his calls in the long run is 0, don’t worry I’m giving this hot financial tip for free. Do these dorks not understand options work? I guess neither did young leo.

Remember, there’s no crying in the casino. *though i have a feeling Leo will continue to fail upward ;_;

Also apparently young leo is getting married to Dario’s Chief of staff this weekend lmaou

Sir, a 2nd EA adj. SF based hedge fund has managed to lose 40 billion dollars

“The mania in math right now quite resembles the mania in software engineering back in December-February, when Claude Code definitely solved all coding. I don’t think the boosters expected that by April, everyone would be complaining about how expensive it all was while seeing an endless parade of vibe coding disasters (and no increase in productivity). Even if math research works out perfectly well (which is a still big if), it’s not going to pay the bills.”

^MBAs at Open AI desperately trying to figure out who is willing to buy a counter example for 100 billion USD . pee en gee

Choice predictions from a scientist at the top of his field.

“By 2026, the use of large language models to handle business transactions and other institutional communications becomes an industry standard in many sectors, because of the higher levels of intelligence and patience these models are able to offer. When a human with a customer service inquiry has to deal with another human instead of a robot, they get upset and ask to speak to a machine instead.”

Brother

“Beginning in 2027, humanoid super robots become commonplace as general-use assistants, due to AI-assisted advancements in robotics research and development. They help with many time-consuming tasks such as laundry, accounting, and delivery tasks. As they become cheaper, it becomes increasingly necessary for middle-class professionals to own robots to assist with their jobs and personal lives. Humanoid robots also become a common sight on the street, constituting a significant fraction of humanoids in big cities — say, 2%”

Next 5 months are going to be crazy in robots apparently :O

“Robots take over the labor force and the political class In 2030, fleets of unionized robots join the global workforce as legal persons unto themselves, with pledges to donate their earnings to charity and pay small dividends back to their original creators and supporters. Robots quickly overtake humans in almost all remaining tasks of economic value that were not already displaced by non-robotic AI. As such, robots become the primary producers and consumers of products and services worldwide.”

I feel like if I sneer at this one as hard as I want to, the basilisk will punish me.

https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1v4p6qj/fields_medalist_jacob_tsimerman_joins_openai/

Devastating. Fields medal winner Jacob Tsimerman declares he stopped taking grad students 2 years ago and immediately joins open ai to focus hacking hugging face ;_;

based

🫡

The implication that Soares / MIRI were doing serious research before is frankly journalist malpractice. Matteo Wong can go pound sand.

Chat wtf is this curve?

Gary asks the doomers, are you “feeling the agi” now kids?

To which Daniel K, our favorite guru lets us know that he has officially moved his goal posts updated his timeline so now the robogod doesnt wipe us out until the year of our lorde 2029.

It takes a big brain superforecaster to have to admit your four month old rapture prophecy was already off by at least 2 years omegalul

Also, love: updating towards my teammate (lmaou) who cowrote the manifesto but is now saying he never believed it. “The forecasts that don’t come true were just pranks bro, check my manifold score bro, im def capable of future sight, trust”

it’s weird that Piper keeps getting paid to make content, but I’ve never once seen anyone claim to enjoy any of her work…

🍿

Reenforcement learning

Me and the gals having a totally normal evening at SBFs compound

(Bonus)

Only taste tester I trust dropped his verdict