🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ceasefire in Lebanon: Layla Nicolas: Reports on what happened converge as follows:

1- The first American initiative: Hezbollah stops firing “completely” in exchange for sparing the southern suburbs and Beirut.

2- President Berri rejected it and demanded that the ceasefire be comprehensive and by both sides, and that homes not be destroyed.

3- The pace of Israeli threats increased, so Iran intervened with counter-threats.

4- The American position softened—the new offer: the southern suburbs in exchange for the northern settlements.

5- Hezbollah’s response: a comprehensive and complete ceasefire by both sides, paving the way for an Israeli withdrawal.

6- Qalibaf yesterday in a call with President Berri: We support a complete ceasefire, even in the south.

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Result: Communications are ongoing, and we will see where they lead.

But:

1- The Israeli position is strict, and there is full American-Israeli coordination in managing the escalation on the fronts.

2- The story that Trump rebuked Netanyahu—we’ve heard it many times about Biden and Gaza.

3- There is a repetition of the Gaza scenario: how many times was a ceasefire agreement announced and never happened?

4- As we predicted earlier: Israel escalates on the eve of every negotiation round, expanding the scope of fire to extract concessions from the Lebanese negotiator (this is the inevitable result of any negotiations under fire).

5- Without a serious and continuous Iranian threat, Israel will continue to stall in negotiations with the political authority and act brutally on the ground.

@SimurghRes

https://t.me/SimurghRes/5207