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  • Jeanne-Paul Marat@lemmygrad.ml
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    7 days ago
    1. These plans were drafted when the US was a little better at conventional warfare, because back in the 90s they had an army prepped to fight the soviets if they had to. Nowadays not so much

    2. The original plan was basically to do a clean sweep of the middle east, Afganistan, Iraq, then Syria then libya, then Iran. Evem back then they dropped a full invasion of Iran after if became clear itd be stupid.

    3.But that’s the thing about fascism, it has no other choice. For example, Japan attacking the USA was an extremely stupid move from the perspective of actually having a functioning country if you lost. But from the fascist pov, they were still losing in china and the USA cut off imports. Their option was either attack the USA and western SE Asian colonies or…just sit there and collapse. So they chose the option that gave them more time.

    This plays into my hypothesis that they basically used all of their intelligence assets in the massive insurrection before this all began. Because now Iran had a very low chance of actually having a. Revolution that benefitted the west and Israel, and Israel itself basically needed to stop Iran now before they got stronger, so the only option for the fascists was to attack

    • DonLongSchlong@lemmygrad.ml
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      7 days ago

      Thank you so much!

      I think part of my issue was that I underestimated Iran and only thought of it as a victim that landed a good couple hits due to their intelligence and counterintelligence rather than a force that was united, prepared and has enough reserves and production capabilities to take on the genocidal states. Especially the point of Iran becoming stronger and Israel not having good prospects of being able to keep up in the future leading to desperation helped me understand it a bit better.

      Other comments mentioned the counterintelligence eroding the Intel of the US and them relying on wonky info now due to said desperation as well.

      This makes me a little bit more (cautiously) optimistic. Thank you!