The eternal burden of being right. Israel went and did it. Negotiating with the US in the Middle East is like negotiating with an armed man with a rabid dog.

Iran’s response so far has been fairly limited. There’ll probably be way more missiles at night (like… now lol), but after the twelve days war success I think they’ll slowly ramp up attacks over time. Some IDF folks claiming they’ll seek complete sky superiority by tomorrow, but I think it’s just sabre-rattling cuz that’d be asking for getting their UAVs and planes shot down with Iran’s sheer size and AA equipment.

Spreading out the attacks over multiple surrounding stationary military bases looks like it was a success, but I haven’t seen any reports of attacks on mobile naval assets yet, which is strange. Also very little footage from Israeli territory, interceptions or not, but I’m not sure what to make out of that.

Overall things are looking good for Iran right now, no matter whether the conflicting reports over Khameini’s alleged death are true or not. I doubt they’re true because his martyrdom could be used as a rallying cry, and lying about it would be counterproductive.