This idea that most of the guys betting on sports every weekend are “pretty much breaking even” is wrong. Anyone can get lucky on a long shot, but as soon as you demonstrate the ability to get the real edge – the one that understands that odds pricing is the only thing that matters, you are kicked out for life.
I always wondered how people could lose at sports betting when all you have to do is find MMA and wager on a Russian Muslim every time. I guess they ban you for being too good.
Like the video says, it doesn’t matter if you can mathematically prove that your guy will win 90% of the time if it’s priced like they will win 91%
Because the good ones (everyone trained by Abdulmanap basically) are always heavy favorites. You will have to risk large sums to win a pittance and all it takes is one loss to wipe out all your previous winnings.