Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are scheduled to debate on Sept. 10, but the 2024 presidential election is already in the bag — at least according to Allan Li...
He predicts Harris will win citing 8 keys he uses:
No primary contest and the party is largely behind her
No sizable third party spoil
In the short term and long term economies are good
Biden made large policy changes like Paris accords, chips act, inflation reduction act
No sustained social unrest
No meaningful white house scandals
Challenger charisma is limited to a narrow base
The points against her are:
Midterm gains by challengers
Harris isn't the incumbent
With Foreign policy failures and Foreign policy success left unchecked because she passed the majority of the keys.
With those last two he says “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza. Which is a humanitarian disaster, with no end in sight”
Can somebody give me a TL;DW
TL;DW He thinks Kamala will win because of some factors he came up with in the 80s.
ty saved me a click
He predicts Harris will win citing 8 keys he uses:
The points against her are:
With Foreign policy failures and Foreign policy success left unchecked because she passed the majority of the keys.
With those last two he says “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza. Which is a humanitarian disaster, with no end in sight”
lol
lol
Genocides aren’t scandalous to american moderates, so sadly this one is valid
I think this is false on its face, but let’s see how these assumptions hold up if the strait of hormuz closes due to regional conflagration
Yeah he’s just talking out his ass.
Honestly I think the lack of a primary is negative. But those keys aren’t that bad tbh. He’s just wrong on multiple points.